Russia’s all-out invasion of Ukraine has thrust the world into a dangerous and volatile era. Russian President Vladimir Putin wants to undo Europe’s post-Cold War settlement, control his neighborhood, and disrupt the influence of open democratic societies, not because of what they do but because of who they are. He is determined to use military force and coercion to change Europe’s map. The implications are profound, not only for the future of Russia, Ukraine, and Eastern Europe, but for the world. 

Publications and Commentary


Working Group on Transatlantic Security After Russia’s War on Ukraine

I host this working group together with Angela Stent, Senior non-resident Fellow at Brookings and Professor Emerita at Georgetown University, and Stefan Meister of the German Council on Foreign Relations. Participants include senior officials, scholars and think tank experts from across the transatlantic space.

This project follows on earlier cooperation that resulted in three books:

Before Russia’s renewed invasion of Ukraine we generated a number of scenarios — narratives of alternative futures for relations with Russia. Read the results of the scenario building in our Russia and the West 2028.


Russia and the Rest

This project, which I lead also with Angela Stent and Stefan Meister, seeks to better understand Russia’s goals for its relationships with key U.S. pivotal partners globally and draw insights on how those relationships constrain and shape Russian-Chinese strategic cooperation. We are conducting a series of individual dialogues with nine non-Atlantic pivotal partners: Brazil, India, Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Mexico, South Africa, South Korea, and Turkey. These workshops focus on how Russia’s relations with other powers affect its stance towards its war on Ukraine, its strategic alignment with China, and what can be learned about Russia’s motivations from perspectives outside the traditional trans-Atlantic lens.